Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

10
9
Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction2.08M (370k - 15.8M)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1B
...
...
...
...
370.3k
2.078M
15.82M
6.5%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Training and Compute
AI Technical Benchmarks
Artificial Intelligence
OpenAI
Microsoft

Comments

? comments