M

Question

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction1.49M (219k - 12M)

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CDF

weight:
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%218.9k
median1.492M
upper 75%11.95M
Upper bound
>1B5.9%
Opened:Jun 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030

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