Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the US see widespread rioting in 2020?

Resolved :No33%
19
51
Total Forecasters149
Community Prediction33% (20% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 33%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
28.7
Community Peer Score
20.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2020 Leaderboard
George Floyd
1992 Los Angeles riots
United States
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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