🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Trump's pants catch fire on at least five more occasions than Biden's during the month of July?

Resolved :No28%
3
33
Total Forecasters105
Community Prediction28% (20% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 28%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-41.3
Community Peer Score
17.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
alexrjl
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Academy Summer Series
Politics
2020 Leaderboard
PolitiFact
Joe Biden
Donald Trump

Comments

? comments