Question

Will the next winner of the Booker Prize be female?

Resolved :No

17 comments17

Total Forecasters88

Community Prediction67%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 67%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-35.7

Community Peer Score

-0.1

median 67.0%mean 66.8%

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Academy Summer Series

Sports & Entertainment

United Kingdom

Booker Prize

Will the next James Bond be female?

When will the first woman win the World Chess Championships?

2101-02-09

Will the UK Labour Party have a female leader before 2030?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Academy Summer Series

Sports & Entertainment

United Kingdom

Booker Prize

Alexis Wright wins $60,000 Melbourne literature prize

Guardian•Nov 14, 2024

The Guardian view on the Booker prize winner: a whole new perspective | Editorial

Guardian•Nov 18, 2024

Booker Prize winner Richard Flanagan adds Baillie Gifford nonfiction prize to his trophy shelf

Associated Press•Nov 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the next James Bond be female?

When will the first woman win the World Chess Championships?

2101-02-09

Will the UK Labour Party have a female leader before 2030?

15%