🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the artist who performs 2020’s UK Christmas #1 be the winner of a reality television show?

Resolved :No13%
-3
10
Total Forecasters45
Community Prediction13% (10% - 24%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 13%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
52.0
Community Peer Score
1.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
alexrjl
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Academy Summer Series
Sports & Entertainment
2020 Leaderboard
List of UK Singles Chart Christmas number ones
The X Factor (British TV series)
Rage Against the Machine
Killing in the Name
LadBaby
UK Singles Chart

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