🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will Croatia adopt the euro?

Resolved :Dec 31, 20222023-01-08
Community Prediction2022-06-172023-01-29Nov 01Nov 05Nov 09Nov 13Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 29Dec 03Dec 07Dec 11Dec 15Dec 19Dec 23Dec 27Dec 31now
Total Forecasters44
Community Prediction2023-01-08 (2022-12-07 - 2023-02-18)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

2020-07-042020-12-242021-06-152021-12-052022-05-282022-11-172023-05-092023-10-302024-04-202024-10-102025-04-022025-09-222026-03-142026-09-032027-02-242027-08-162028-02-052028-07-282029-01-172029-07-092029-12-30
My Prediction
community
<2020-07-04
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2029-12-30
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
2022-12-07 06:46
2023-01-08 18:55
2023-02-18 18:39
0.2%

What was the final result?Dec 31, 2022

Community Baseline Score
31.9
Community Peer Score
17.7
Authors:
Opened:Aug 25, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolves:Jan 1, 2030

Comments

? comments

We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience.

Learn more about how we use cookies in our Privacy Policy