Question
When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?
Total Forecasters200
Community Prediction2027-07-10 (2026-07-16 - 2028-09-13)
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CDF
weight:
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2034-12-28
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2026-07-16 16:39
2027-07-10 10:46
2028-09-13 18:16
2.2%
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch