Question

Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?

Resolved :No35%

33 comments33

Total Forecasters198

Community Prediction35% (22% - 51%)

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50%

community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

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46.7

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19.2

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Authors:

zavaindar

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Artificial Intelligence

As robotaxi companies stumble in the US, China’s fleet is growing

Verge•Dec 17, 2024

Waymo Robotaxis Are Heading To Tokyo For Their First Overseas Road Tests

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Waymo robotaxis are coming to Tokyo in 2025

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

2029-10-10

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2037-09-09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

zavaindar

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Artificial Intelligence

As robotaxi companies stumble in the US, China’s fleet is growing

Verge•Dec 17, 2024

Waymo Robotaxis Are Heading To Tokyo For Their First Overseas Road Tests

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Waymo robotaxis are coming to Tokyo in 2025

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

2029-10-10

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2037-09-09

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?

Make a Prediction

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

Comments

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?