Question

Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?

Resolved :Yes55%

9 comments9

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction55% (49% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

8.2

Community Peer Score

20.3

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Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Randomized controlled trial

Statistics

Pharmacology

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Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%

When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

2031-06-02

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Randomized controlled trial

Statistics

Pharmacology

Stage 4 breast cancer patient given 2 years to live survives with ‘fourth pillar’ of treatments

New York Post•Dec 18, 2024

Vagus nerve stimulation may relieve treatment-resistant depression, study finds

CNN•Dec 20, 2024

Novo Nordisk’s next-generation weight-loss drug CagriSema matches Lilly’s Zepbound in major trial, but doesn’t surpass it

CNN•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%

When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

2031-06-02

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%

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Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?

Make a Prediction

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Comments

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?