Question

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

44 comments44

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction2039-08-01 (2033-06-08 - 2049-11-15)

Make a Prediction

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2099-12-31

...

2033-06-08 04:02

2039-08-01 02:30

2049-11-15 19:49

3.0%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

krtnu

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Engineering

Chemistry

Carbon dioxide

Environmental science

Carbon capture and storage

Climeworks

Climatology

United States

Climate change denial

Carbon Engineering

UK government gives the go-ahead to store 100 MILLION tonnes of CO2 under the North Sea - but experts raise fears the greenhouse gas could leak and taint water supplies

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

The Word Nobody Wanted to Say at the UN Climate Action Summit

ProPublica•Dec 17, 2024

Where Does Corporate Climate Action Go in 2025?

Time•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?

68.8

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

10%

What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?

202

Comments

? comments

Authors:

krtnu

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Engineering

Chemistry

Carbon dioxide

Environmental science

Carbon capture and storage

Climeworks

Climatology

United States

Climate change denial

Carbon Engineering

UK government gives the go-ahead to store 100 MILLION tonnes of CO2 under the North Sea - but experts raise fears the greenhouse gas could leak and taint water supplies

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

The Word Nobody Wanted to Say at the UN Climate Action Summit

ProPublica•Dec 17, 2024

Where Does Corporate Climate Action Go in 2025?

Time•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?

68.8

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

10%

What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?

202

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

Make a Prediction

At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?

Comments

At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?

At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?

At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?

Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?

What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?