Question
When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?
Total Forecasters86
Community Prediction
Jun 2039
(May 2033 - Sep 2048)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | May 2033 | — |
| median | Jun 2039 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2048 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2099 | 3.0% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jun 17, 2020
Closes:Jan 2, 2067
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 19, 2020
At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?
68.8
Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?
10%
What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?
202
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 17, 2020
Closes:Jan 2, 2067
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 19, 2020
At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?
68.8
Will a bio additive for accelerating mafic rock weathering by at least 30%, which enhances its CO2 sequestration, be available before 2030 and cost less than $20 per ton of rock?
10%
What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?
202