Question
What annual real return will the S&P 500 realize 2022-2031?
Total Forecasters128
Community Prediction4.77 (0.851 - 9.05)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-50 | 0.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 0.8514 | — |
| median | 4.775 | — |
| upper 75% | 9.051 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 0.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jun 12, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2033
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 12, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2033