Question

Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?

Resolved :No

12 comments12

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

51.7

Community Peer Score

17.8

median 30.0%mean 29.9%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Longbets: Will there be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC by 2043?

53%

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Archaeologists discover ancient ‘migration route’ likely followed by several human species

Independent•Nov 13, 2024

The tiny silver coin that could completely rewrite American history books

Daily Mail•Nov 14, 2024

How we misunderstood what the Lucy fossil reveals about ancient humans

New Scientist•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Longbets: Will there be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC by 2043?

53%