Question

Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC?

Resolved :No

12 comments12

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

51.7

Community Peer Score

17.8

median 30.0%mean 29.9%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Longbets: Will there be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC by 2043?

53%

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

A cave in France is revealing how the Neanderthals died out

New Scientist•Oct 8, 2024

Human Origins Look Ever More Tangled with Gene and Fossil Discoveries

Scientific American•Oct 11, 2024

Cave fossils reveal how early humans colonised Southeast Asia

Independent•Oct 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Longbets: Will there be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC by 2043?

53%