Question

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction129 (123 - 135)

Make a Prediction

weight:

My Prediction

community

<100

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>180

...

1.4%

122.9

128.6

134.8

0.5%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Britain Should Set Immigration Targets, Says Labour Think Tank

Forbes•Dec 15, 2024

Shabana Mahmood suggests ministers will override objections to new prisons

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

The civil service grew under the Tories. Can Starmer reduce it without further harming morale?

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

35%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Britain Should Set Immigration Targets, Says Labour Think Tank

Forbes•Dec 15, 2024

Shabana Mahmood suggests ministers will override objections to new prisons

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

The civil service grew under the Tories. Can Starmer reduce it without further harming morale?

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

35%

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MetaculusM

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

Make a Prediction

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

Comments

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?