M

Question

If Conservatives win the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

Resolved :Annulled135
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction135 (130 - 141)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<1001.1%
Quartiles
lower 25%129.6
median135.1
upper 75%140.5
Upper bound
>1800.5%

What was the final result?Annulled

Authors:
Opened:Jun 24, 2020
Closes:Feb 14, 2027
Resolves:Feb 14, 2027

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