Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How long will it take to listen to every episode of the 80,000 Hours Podcast released in 2020?

Resolved :60.570
Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction70 (62.4 - 77.5)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>168
...
...
...
...
62.45
69.96
77.46
0.2%

What was the final result?60.5

Community Baseline Score
65.3
Community Peer Score
11.0
Learn more about scores here.
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