Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

[short fuse] Given that the NYT publishes an article on Scott Alexander, will it include his full name?

Resolved :Ambiguous60%
65
108
Total Forecasters304
Community Prediction60% (45% - 67%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 60%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

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Authors:
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Opened:
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Resolves:
2020 Leaderboard
The New York Times
Scott Alexander

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