Question

Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?

Resolved :No

4 comments4

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction50%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-9.7

Community Peer Score

1.7

median 50.0%mean 46.5%

Authors:

Greg

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Financial crisis of 2007–08

VIX

S&P 500 Index

Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?

36.2%

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

79%

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

12%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Greg

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Financial crisis of 2007–08

VIX

S&P 500 Index

The S&P 500 will gain 11% by mid-2025 as the bull market accelerates under Trump, Evercore says

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Trump's win boosts forecast for 'Roaring 20s' to send the S&P 500 up 66% by the end of the decade, market veteran says

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?

36.2%

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

79%

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

12%