Question

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?

40 comments40

Total Forecasters111

Community Prediction9.7

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

6.069

9.697

14.72

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

Edison Electric Institute

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles

Battery-powered electric vehicle sales plunge by 25% as Australian drivers choose hybrid models

Guardian•Nov 11, 2024

Japanese carmakers are losing ground as China surges ahead in the EV race

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

Drivers are being 'ill-served by underwhelming EVs,' says boss of Tesla rival Lucid

Business Insider•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7.84

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

30.9

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Technology

Edison Electric Institute

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles

Battery-powered electric vehicle sales plunge by 25% as Australian drivers choose hybrid models

Guardian•Nov 11, 2024

Japanese carmakers are losing ground as China surges ahead in the EV race

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

Drivers are being 'ill-served by underwhelming EVs,' says boss of Tesla rival Lucid

Business Insider•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7.84

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

30.9