🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will US auto manufacturing recover to 80% of pre-COVID-19 production levels?

Resolved :Jul 7, 20202020-10-02
3
14
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction2020-10-02 (2020-07-20 - 2021-12-09)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2023-06-24
...
...
...
...
2020-07-20 11:21
2020-10-02 04:28
2021-12-09 10:46
3.7%

What was the final result?Jul 7, 2020

Community Baseline Score
-2.3
Community Peer Score
2.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Gaia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Toyota
Bureau of Economic Analysis
Public health
United States
Financial crisis of 2007–08
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Frost & Sullivan

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