M

Question

Amplified forecasting: What will Buck's informed prediction of compute used in the largest ML training run before 2030 be?

Resolved :Ambiguous12.3
12
24
Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction12.3 (9.04 - 16.4)

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community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>30
...
...
...
...
9.045
12.3
16.41
6.2%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

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Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2020 Leaderboard
PayPal
Kullback–Leibler divergence
Machine Intelligence Research Institute
Statistics
Information theory

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