Question

Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?

Resolved :No70%

5 comments5

Total Forecasters10

Community Prediction70% (65% - 83%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-40.8

Community Peer Score

11.0

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Authors:

moons R us

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

2017 Leaderboard

Elections in the United Kingdom

Conservative Party (UK)

Tories cry foul as overhaul of English councils may delay local elections

Guardian•Dec 17, 2024

Germany set for snap election after vote of no confidence in leader Scholz

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

Could $100m of Elon Musk’s money sway a general election for Reform UK?

Guardian•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK House of Commons be elected by proportional representation before 2030?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

moons R us

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

2017 Leaderboard

Elections in the United Kingdom

Conservative Party (UK)

Tories cry foul as overhaul of English councils may delay local elections

Guardian•Dec 17, 2024

Germany set for snap election after vote of no confidence in leader Scholz

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

Could $100m of Elon Musk’s money sway a general election for Reform UK?

Guardian•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK House of Commons be elected by proportional representation before 2030?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

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Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?

Make a Prediction

Will the UK House of Commons be elected by proportional representation before 2030?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Comments

Will the UK House of Commons be elected by proportional representation before 2030?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will the UK House of Commons be elected by proportional representation before 2030?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Will the UK House of Commons be elected by proportional representation before 2030?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?