Question

Will a DNA-sequencing read-length record of over 5,000,000 bases be achieved before January 1st, 2022?

Resolved :No31%

5 comments5

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction31% (28% - 36%)

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50%

community: 31%

Did this actually happen?No

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Authors:

JasperGötting

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Oxford Nanopore Technologies

DNA sequencing

Google has unveiled a new quantum computer chip that cracks a '30-year challenge in the field'

Business Insider•Dec 11, 2024

Google says it has made a chip that can be more than a billion times faster than the fastest supercomputers

Independent•Dec 11, 2024

Another record has been set for the most entangled logical qubits

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

2028-10-06

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

189k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

JasperGötting

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Oxford Nanopore Technologies

DNA sequencing

Google has unveiled a new quantum computer chip that cracks a '30-year challenge in the field'

Business Insider•Dec 11, 2024

Google says it has made a chip that can be more than a billion times faster than the fastest supercomputers

Independent•Dec 11, 2024

Another record has been set for the most entangled logical qubits

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

2028-10-06

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

189k

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Will a DNA-sequencing read-length record of over 5,000,000 bases be achieved before January 1st, 2022?

Make a Prediction

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

Comments

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?