Question

What percentage of seats will Labour hold after the 2020 New Zealand general election?

Resolved :53.351.9

34 comments34

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction51.9 (47.3 - 56.5)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

47.25

51.91

56.47

What was the final result?53.3

Community Baseline Score

71.4

Community Peer Score

12.0

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

shibboleth

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2020 Leaderboard

Elections in New Zealand

ACT New Zealand

Green Party of England and Wales

2020 New Zealand general election

New Zealand Parliament

New Zealand National Party

New Zealand House of Representatives

New Zealand

Jacinda Ardern

Starmer receives worst rating yet as Labour leader

Spectator (UK)•Dec 16, 2024

Guardian Essential poll: Albanese disapproval at 50% as majority say Australia on the wrong track

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Labour seems to be flailing, but keep faith: Starmer’s long-term plans are both radical and sound | Polly Toynbee

Guardian•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of seats will the PAP win in the next Singaporean general election?

86.8

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

69%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

shibboleth

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2020 Leaderboard

Elections in New Zealand

ACT New Zealand

Green Party of England and Wales

2020 New Zealand general election

New Zealand Parliament

New Zealand National Party

New Zealand House of Representatives

New Zealand

Jacinda Ardern

Starmer receives worst rating yet as Labour leader

Spectator (UK)•Dec 16, 2024

Guardian Essential poll: Albanese disapproval at 50% as majority say Australia on the wrong track

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Labour seems to be flailing, but keep faith: Starmer’s long-term plans are both radical and sound | Polly Toynbee

Guardian•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of seats will the PAP win in the next Singaporean general election?

86.8

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

69%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What percentage of seats will Labour hold after the 2020 New Zealand general election?

Make a Prediction

What percentage of seats will the PAP win in the next Singaporean general election?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

Comments

What percentage of seats will the PAP win in the next Singaporean general election?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

What percentage of seats will the PAP win in the next Singaporean general election?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

What percentage of seats will the PAP win in the next Singaporean general election?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?