Question

Will Richard Spencer receive a long-term Twitter ban before 2021?

Resolved :No

-9

9 comments9

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

22.1

Community Peer Score

11.7

median 1.0%mean 4.5%

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

American Renaissance (magazine)

YouTube

Twitter

Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025?

25%

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

50%

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

American Renaissance (magazine)

YouTube

Twitter

SCOTUS Won't Stop Jack Smith's Probe Of Trump's Private Data

Federalist•Oct 9, 2024

Prosecutors seek jail time for far-right extremist Jacob Hersant over Nazi salute

Guardian•Oct 9, 2024

Self-described Nazi will be sent to prison for salute at sentencing next month

Associated Press•Oct 9, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025?

25%

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

50%

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

10%