Question

Will Charles Murray receive a long-term Twitter ban before 2021?

Resolved :No

5 comments5

Total Forecasters66

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

66.9

Community Peer Score

6.0

median 1.0%mean 3.1%

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Technology

YouTube

Charles Murray (political scientist)

Twitter

Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025?

25%

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

50%

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Technology

YouTube

Charles Murray (political scientist)

Twitter

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Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025?

25%

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

50%