🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

58
67
Total Forecasters450
Community Prediction24% (13% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 24%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Military science
China
Security
United Kingdom
Tactical nuclear weapon
India
Pakistan
Strategic nuclear weapon
Physics
France

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