Question

While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction8.53

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<3e-2

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>33

...

11.4%

6.03e-1

8.53

37.9%

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Brain Preservation Foundation

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

2.15

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

7e-1

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Brain Preservation Foundation

Why scientists think there's a 'third state' beyond life and death that could explain so much. One neuroscientist reveals incredible near-death experience

Daily Mail•Oct 2, 2024

Saliva swab could predict if you'll die within the year - would you be brave enough to take the test?

Daily Mail•Oct 1, 2024

Key factor makes you four times more likely to live to 100, new official data shows

Daily Mail•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

2.15

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

7e-1

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?

Make a Prediction

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Comments

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?