Question

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters138

Community Prediction92% (83% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 92%

Authors:

Natalia_Mendonca

Opened:

Jul 16, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2200

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Social Sciences

Technology

Longevity escape velocity

Experts share chilling warning over DeepSeek as it sparks 'Lord Of the Rings race' for superhuman intelligence

Daily Mail•Feb 15, 2025

I met the ‘godfathers of AI’ in Paris – here’s what they told me to really worry about | Alexander Hurst

Guardian•Feb 16, 2025

Have AIs Already Reached Consciousness?

Psychology Today•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

2052-09-25

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

43%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

50%

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