Question

Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?

Resolved :No36%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction36% (25% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 36%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

49.0

Community Peer Score

1.7

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Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Middle East respiratory syndrome

United States

Medicine

America’s Bird-Flu Luck Has Officially Run Out

Atlantic•Dec 20, 2024

Funding Bill Includes Cash For a DOZEN Biolabs to ‘Research’/Engineer New Viruses

PJ Media•Dec 20, 2024

America's bird flu hotspots revealed as patient fights for their life in hospital... is killer virus in YOUR state?

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

57%

Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025?

0.5%

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Middle East respiratory syndrome

United States

Medicine

America’s Bird-Flu Luck Has Officially Run Out

Atlantic•Dec 20, 2024

Funding Bill Includes Cash For a DOZEN Biolabs to ‘Research’/Engineer New Viruses

PJ Media•Dec 20, 2024

America's bird flu hotspots revealed as patient fights for their life in hospital... is killer virus in YOUR state?

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

57%

Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025?

0.5%

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Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?

Make a Prediction

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Comments

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?