Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

In the 2020 US Presidential election, when will the losing candidate concede?

Resolved :Jan 7, 20212020-11-17
18
64
Total Forecasters96
Community Prediction2020-11-17 (2020-11-06 - 2020-12-14)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2021-01-20
...
...
...
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2020-11-06 20:58
2020-11-17 19:24
2020-12-14 03:00
13.6%

What was the final result?Jan 7, 2021

Community Baseline Score
-75.0
Community Peer Score
55.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
andymartin
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2020 Leaderboard
2020 US presidential election
Republican Party (US)
Donald Trump

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