Question
As of July 1, 2022, when will top forecasters expect the first Artificial General Intelligence to be developed and demonstrated?
Resolved :Jun 2, 20302035-05-31Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction2035-05-31 (2031-05-16 - 2040-10-31)
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My Prediction
community<2023-07-21
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2110-01-04
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3.4%
2031-05-16 02:51
2035-05-31 22:36
2040-10-31 10:17
1.1%
What was the final result?Jun 2, 2030
Community Baseline Score
26.2
Community Beer Score
16.5
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