Question

When will the VIX index climb above 50?

Resolved :Above upper bound2022-12-29

17 comments17

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction2022-12-29 (2022-07-22 - 2022-12-29)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2022-12-29

...

2022-07-22 23:54

>2022-12-29 00:00

63.8%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

117.2

Community Peer Score

62.1

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

mattvdm

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Evercore ISI sees more S&P 500 gains next year on Trump and a bull case of 7,400

CNBC•Dec 16, 2024

Why Wall Street's S&P 500 forecast for 2025 is likely to be 'way off'

CNBC•Dec 18, 2024

Wall Street's fear gauge — the VIX — saw second-biggest spike ever on Wednesday

CNBC•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?

36.2%

Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?

20%

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

16.1%

Comments

? comments