Question

When will virtual reality headset sales exceed 10 million units per year?

21 comments21

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction2025-08-04 (2024-05-22 - 2027-02-13)

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2029-12-30

...

2024-05-22 20:51

2025-08-04 13:41

2027-02-13 22:31

8.6%

Authors:

krtnu

Opened:

Jul 20, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Windows Mixed Reality

HTC Vive

Oculus Go

Samsung Gear VR

Here’s what Samsung’s first Android XR headset looks like in person

Verge•Jan 23, 2025

Google buys part of HTC’s XR business for $250 million

TechCrunch•Jan 23, 2025

Google buys part of HTC’s XR business.

Verge•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

2030-11-17

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

2029-11-26

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

23%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

krtnu

Opened:

Jul 20, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Windows Mixed Reality

HTC Vive

Oculus Go

Samsung Gear VR

Here’s what Samsung’s first Android XR headset looks like in person

Verge•Jan 23, 2025

Google buys part of HTC’s XR business for $250 million

TechCrunch•Jan 23, 2025

Google buys part of HTC’s XR business.

Verge•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?

2030-11-17

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

2029-11-26

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

23%