Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
Will any science fiction literature originally written in Spanish win a major science fiction award before 2031?
9
13 comments
13
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
66
Community Prediction
40%
Make a Prediction
50%
community: 40%
Sign Up to Predict
Background Info
Histogram
median
40.0%
mean
41.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
francisco.jariego
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Sports & Entertainment
Latin American Boom
Spain
Spanish science fiction
Hugo Award
Nebula Award
John W. Campbell Memorial Award for Best Science Fiction Novel
Theodore Sturgeon Award
Arthur C. Clarke Award
Enrique Gaspar y Rimbau
Miguel de Unamuno
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
Log in
? comments
recent
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
francisco.jariego
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Sports & Entertainment
Latin American Boom
Spain
Spanish science fiction
Hugo Award
Nebula Award
John W. Campbell Memorial Award for Best Science Fiction Novel
Theodore Sturgeon Award
Arthur C. Clarke Award
Enrique Gaspar y Rimbau
Miguel de Unamuno
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
[New in Korean] ‘A Thousand Blues’ author brings dystopian short story collection
Korea Herald
•
Nov 16, 2024
An 83-year-old short story by Borges portends a bleak future for the internet
The Conversation
•
Nov 19, 2024
Itching to write a book? AI publisher Spines wants to make a deal
TechCrunch
•
Nov 19, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
[New in Korean] ‘A Thousand Blues’ author brings dystopian short story collection
Korea Herald
•
Nov 16, 2024
An 83-year-old short story by Borges portends a bleak future for the internet
The Conversation
•
Nov 19, 2024
Itching to write a book? AI publisher Spines wants to make a deal
TechCrunch
•
Nov 19, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?
44%
When will the Spanish Wikipedia have 4 million articles?
2033-09-13
Will a book written by a language model make the NY Times Best Seller list before 2030?
65%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?
44%
When will the Spanish Wikipedia have 4 million articles?
2033-09-13
Will a book written by a language model make the NY Times Best Seller list before 2030?
65%
Show More Questions