M

Question

When (if ever) will a Manhattan/Apollo project toward AGI be launched?

Total Forecasters79
Community Prediction2027-05-31 (2025-09-06 - 2032-10-02)

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CDF

weight:
Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<2021-09-300.3%
Quartiles
lower 25%Sep 2025
medianMay 2027
upper 75%Oct 2032
Upper bound
>2049-12-3011.3%
Authors:
Opened:Jul 20, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050

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