Question
When (if ever) will a Manhattan/Apollo project toward AGI be launched?
Total Forecasters79
Community Prediction2027-05-31 (2025-09-06 - 2032-10-02)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2021-09-30 | 0.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Sep 2025 | — |
| median | May 2027 | — |
| upper 75% | Oct 2032 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2049-12-30 | 11.3% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 20, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jul 20, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050