Question
When (if ever) will a Manhattan/Apollo project toward AGI be launched?
Total Forecasters79
Community Prediction2027-05-31 (2025-09-06 - 2032-10-02)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<2021-09-30 | 0.3% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | Sep 2025 | — |
median | May 2027 | — |
upper 75% | Oct 2032 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2049-12-30 | 11.3% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 20, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 20, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050