Question
How many parameters will GPT-4 have (if it is released), in billions of parameters?
Resolved :Ambiguous3.6kTotal Forecasters110
Community Prediction3.6k (1.44k - 8.91k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <175 | 2.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.445k | — |
| median | 3.596k | — |
| upper 75% | 8.909k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50k | 2.4% | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Jul 21, 2020
Closes:Jul 8, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 21, 2020
Closes:Jul 8, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch