🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will a language model meet or exceed the human baseline on SuperGLUE?

Resolved :Dec 30, 20202021-03-11
12
6
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction2021-03-11 (2020-12-26 - 2021-06-28)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-07-21
...
...
...
...
2020-12-26 09:39
2021-03-11 14:59
2021-06-28 07:42
0.4%

What was the final result?Dec 30, 2020

Community Baseline Score
90.9
Community Peer Score
46.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
AI Technical Benchmarks
Artificial Intelligence
2020 Leaderboard
Google
T5
Machine learning

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