Question

If the Republican candidate in 2020 wins the electoral college, will they lose the popular vote?

Resolved :Ambiguous

20 comments20

Total Forecasters110

Community Prediction72%

Make a Prediction

community: 72%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 72.0%mean 75.3%

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Wyoming

Republican Party (US)

Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?

75%

When will the Republican candidate next win the Popular Vote in a US Presidential Election?

2027-06-04

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

47%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Wyoming

Republican Party (US)

How the Electoral College works - and why 270 votes will decide if Trump or Harris wins the 2024 election

Daily Mail•Oct 23, 2024

CNN’s Enten Says Trump ‘Could Make History’ By Winning The Popular Vote

Daily Caller•Oct 25, 2024

CNN Analyst: Trump Could Capture His ‘Great White Whale’ in 2024

PJ Media•Oct 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?

75%

When will the Republican candidate next win the Popular Vote in a US Presidential Election?

2027-06-04

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

47%