Question
How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction5.7 (4.92 - 6.47)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 4.925 | — |
| median | 5.702 | — |
| upper 75% | 6.468 | — |
Authors:
Opened:Aug 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 31, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 31, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch