Question

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters65

Community Prediction43.9%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 43.9%

median 43.9%mean 41.3%

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Sudden syphilis retreat in gay men is most likely tied to preventive antibiotic use

NBC•Nov 13, 2024

Fears for spread of malaria in Africa as study finds resistance to frontline drug

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

WHO warns of measles resurgence as cases exceed 10 million in 2023

Al Jazeera•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

Will GiveWell recommend grants of more than $5 million to support delivering chlorine and/or oral rehydration solution and zinc along with vaccine outreach services?

75%

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?

90%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Sudden syphilis retreat in gay men is most likely tied to preventive antibiotic use

NBC•Nov 13, 2024

Fears for spread of malaria in Africa as study finds resistance to frontline drug

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

WHO warns of measles resurgence as cases exceed 10 million in 2023

Al Jazeera•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

Will GiveWell recommend grants of more than $5 million to support delivering chlorine and/or oral rehydration solution and zinc along with vaccine outreach services?

75%

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?

90%