Question

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

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Total Forecasters65

Community Prediction43.9% (30% - 54%)

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50%

community: 43.9%

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Authors:

alexrjl

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Health & Pandemics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Inside MacKenzie Scott’s $2 Billion In 2024 Giving–And What’s Ahead

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Malaria cases rise for fifth year as disasters and resistance hamper control efforts

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

Will GiveWell recommend grants of more than $5 million to support delivering chlorine and/or oral rehydration solution and zinc along with vaccine outreach services?

85%

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?

88%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Inside MacKenzie Scott’s $2 Billion In 2024 Giving–And What’s Ahead

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Malaria cases rise for fifth year as disasters and resistance hamper control efforts

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

Will GiveWell recommend grants of more than $5 million to support delivering chlorine and/or oral rehydration solution and zinc along with vaccine outreach services?

85%

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?

88%

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At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

Make a Prediction

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

Will GiveWell recommend grants of more than $5 million to support delivering chlorine and/or oral rehydration solution and zinc along with vaccine outreach services?

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?

Comments

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

Will GiveWell recommend grants of more than $5 million to support delivering chlorine and/or oral rehydration solution and zinc along with vaccine outreach services?

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

Will GiveWell recommend grants of more than $5 million to support delivering chlorine and/or oral rehydration solution and zinc along with vaccine outreach services?

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

Will GiveWell recommend grants of more than $5 million to support delivering chlorine and/or oral rehydration solution and zinc along with vaccine outreach services?

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?