Question

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

53 comments53

Total Forecasters278

Community Prediction4% (1.5% - 8%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Authors:

Grigfall

Opened:

Aug 13, 2020

Closes:

Dec 30, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 30, 2027

Geopolitics

United States

Hugh White (strategist)

China

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American Conservative•Feb 12, 2025

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

13%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

15%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

50%

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