M

Question

Will Metaculus's predictions significantly improve in the next 6 months?

Resolved :No
8
14
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction55%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 55%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-17.5
Community Peer Score
21.9
median 55.0%mean 50.5%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Computing and Math
Economy & Business
Brier score
Data analysis
Statistics

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