M

Question

Is the Metaculus prediction better than all users?

Resolved :No
14
20
Total Forecasters83
Community Prediction50%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 50%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-55.3
Community Peer Score
4.0
median 50.0%mean 47.8%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
traviswfisher
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
Computing and Math
Brier score

Comments

? comments