Question

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

33 comments33

Total Forecasters84

Community Prediction2034-06

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2049-12

...

2029-08

2034-06

2049-12

25.1%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Food and Drug Administration

Elon Musk

Technology

Medicine

Privately held company

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

2039-02

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

2055-05

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?

2034-03

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Food and Drug Administration

Elon Musk

Technology

Medicine

Privately held company

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

2039-02

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

2055-05

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?

2034-03

MetaculusM

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When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

Make a Prediction

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?

Comments

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?

When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?