Question
When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?
Total Forecasters83
Community Prediction
Jan 2034
(Jun 2029 - Aug 2047)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jun 2029 | — |
| median | Jan 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | Aug 2047 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >252426240000% | 23.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Aug 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 15, 2020
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 15, 2020
