Question

What will be the real median household income in the United States in 2030?

Resolved :Annulled67.1k

4 comments4

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction67.1k (60.9k - 72.6k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction

community

<45k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>85k

...

8.4%

60.92k

67.1k

72.63k

2.6%

What was the final result?Annulled

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Aug 13, 2020

Closes:

Jun 1, 2026

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2026

Economy & Business

St. Louis

United States

Household income in the United States

Analysis: How will inflation, interest rates and the U.S. consumer fare in 2025?

PBS NewsHour•Jan 27, 2025

One chart shows that low-income Americans get hit hardest by inflation

Business Insider•Jan 27, 2025

Census Bureau releases its 2024 population estimates for the United States and all 50 states

Independent•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Aug 13, 2020

Closes:

Jun 1, 2026

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2026

Economy & Business

St. Louis

United States

Household income in the United States

Analysis: How will inflation, interest rates and the U.S. consumer fare in 2025?

PBS NewsHour•Jan 27, 2025

One chart shows that low-income Americans get hit hardest by inflation

Business Insider•Jan 27, 2025

Census Bureau releases its 2024 population estimates for the United States and all 50 states

Independent•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the top marginal federal income tax rate by in the USA in 2030?

37.7

What will US house prices be in December 2030?

1.98

What will be the Gini coefficient for income in the United States in 2030?

42.9