Question

Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?

Resolved :No

13 comments13

Total Forecasters78

Community Prediction45%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-0.8

Community Peer Score

17.1

median 45.0%mean 43.4%

Authors:

converse

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

James Sessions

Rod Rosenstein

Special Counsel investigation (2017–2019)

James Comey

Robert Mueller

Donald Trump

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

converse

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

James Sessions

Rod Rosenstein

Special Counsel investigation (2017–2019)

James Comey

Robert Mueller

Donald Trump

Special counsel Jack Smith looking at stepping down before Trump takes office and is discussing how to end prosecutions

CNN•Nov 13, 2024

Jack Smith Plans to Troll Trump by Resigning Before He Can Be Fired

•Nov 14, 2024

Can Trump really fire 50,000 civil service workers?

MSNBC•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%