Question

What will be the 5-week average of initial jobless claims filed in December?

Resolved :Above upper bound

21 comments21

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction800k

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My Prediction

community

<400k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>800k

...

0.2%

798.3k

800k

73.3%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

40.4

Community Peer Score

58.4

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

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What will be the U.S. average weekly hours of all employees (total non-farm private) in October 2025?

34.2

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.83

Lightning Round Tournament Question 2.3.0

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Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Jobless Claims Jump to 258,000, Higher Than Expected

Breitbart•Oct 10, 2024

US jobless claims hit 258,000, the most in a year. Analysts point to Hurricane Helene, Boeing strike

Associated Press•Oct 10, 2024

Jobless claims surge by 33K to highest level in over a year — here’s why

New York Post•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the U.S. average weekly hours of all employees (total non-farm private) in October 2025?

34.2

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

3.83