🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

25
16
Total Forecasters154
Community Prediction52.5% (42% - 66%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 52.5%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
emilowk
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Politics
Scotland
2014 Scottish independence referendum
Proposed second Scottish independence referendum
Brexit
United Kingdom
Scottish independence

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