Question
What percentage of absentee ballots will be rejected in the 2020 US election?
Resolved :0.82.09Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction2.09 (1.48 - 3.19)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<0.5 | 2.2% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 1.481 | — |
median | 2.088 | — |
upper 75% | 3.186 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>20 | 0.8% | — |
What was the final result?0.8
Community Baseline Score
-34.7
Community Peer Score
19.4
Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Aug 20, 2021
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Aug 20, 2021